Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
1 - 2
Lyon

Naevdal Mjelde (120+8' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Gilles (77'), Dabritz (110')
Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League

Lyon Women

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, March 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%).

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLyon Women
31.88% (-1.876 -1.88)26.95% (-0.401 -0.4)41.17% (2.277 2.28)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (1.151 1.15)54.78% (-1.148 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.943 0.94)76.09% (-0.941 -0.94)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.68599999999999 -0.69)31.83% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.791 -0.79)68.27% (0.794 0.79)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (1.795 1.8)26.2% (-1.794 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (2.343 2.34)61.29% (-2.34 -2.34)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 31.88%
    Lyon Women 41.17%
    Draw 26.94%
Chelsea WomenDrawLyon Women
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.615 -0.62)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.468 -0.47)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.414 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.325 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.341 0.34)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.167 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41.17%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Lyon

Chelsea Women
83.9%
Draw
8.6%
Lyon Women
7.5%
93
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2023 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
0-1
Chelsea Women
Reiten (28')
Ingle (54'), Cuthbert (56')