Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Liverpool Women
2 - 1
Man City Women

Dowie (16'), Bo Kearns (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hemp (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-1 Liverpool Women
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 4-1 Reading Women
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester City Women
18.36% (0.067999999999998 0.07)20.14% (0.035 0.04)61.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.53% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.67% (-0.052 -0.05)37.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.46% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)59.54% (0.052 0.05)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3% (0.042000000000002 0.04)33.69% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (0.045999999999999 0.05)70.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)11.71% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)36.83% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 18.36%
    Manchester City Women 61.49%
    Draw 20.14%
Liverpool WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 5.01% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 18.36%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.14%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.08% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.62% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 61.49%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
gameweek 6
Man City Women
2-1
Liverpool Women
Shaw (21'), Raso (75')
Stengel (33')
Mar 22, 2020 2pm
gameweek 11
Liverpool Women
P-P
Man City Women
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Man City Women
1-0
Liverpool Women
Bonner (20')
Mar 31, 2019 2pm
Man City Women
2-1
Liverpool Women
Emslie (28'), Beattie (95')
Houghton (53'), McManus (56')
Sweetman-Kirk (53' pen.)
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
Liverpool Women
0-3
Man City Women

Murray (68')
Fahey (50' og.), Parris (59', 85')
Bonner (40')