Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Reading Women
0 - 5
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-3)
Daly (14', 55', 63'), Lehmann (41'), Hanson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Reading Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 4-1 Reading Women
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-3 Man Utd Women
Friday, April 28 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 56%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Reading WomenDrawAston Villa Women
23.26% (0.073999999999998 0.07)20.74% (0.032 0.03)56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 64.46% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.85% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)33.14% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.11% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)54.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.81% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)11.92% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.73% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)37.27% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 23.26%
    Aston Villa Women 56%
    Draw 20.74%
Reading WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 23.26%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.74%
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 56%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 2pm
gameweek 8
Aston Villa
3-1
Reading Women
Daly (37', 45+2', 76' pen.)
Wade (7')
Burns (65')
Mar 26, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 18
Aston Villa
1-1
Reading Women
Petzelberger (76')
Corsie (89')
Vanhaevermaet (69' pen.)
Oct 10, 2021 2pm
gameweek 5
Reading Women
3-0
Aston Villa
Eikeland (16'), Rowe (19'), Dowie (45+3')
Vanhaevermaet (73')
Jan 23, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 9
Aston Villa
2-2
Reading Women
Iwabuchi (55'), Silva (90+1')
N'Dow (30'), Larsen (80')
James (3'), Rowe (57')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
gameweek 3
Reading Women
3-1
Aston Villa
Eikeland (24'), Bruton (40'), Williams (45+3' pen.)
Harding (72'), Bruton (85')
Larsen (79' pen.)
Siems (59'), Larsen (90+5')