Women's Super League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Apr 28, 2023 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Rachel Daly 9' goal
  • Rachel Daly 37' goal
  • goal Leah Galton 15'
  • goal Nikita Parris 62'
  • goal Millie Turner 90'+3'

Aston Villa Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
Spurs 3 - 3 Aston Villa
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 7.15pm
Man Utd 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Leah Galton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 7.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.01%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 16% ▼ (-0.02)
Manchester United Women 76.36% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.3% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.66% ▲ (+0.03)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 43.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 56.29% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 11.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 88.64% ▲ (+0.05)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 89.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 10.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 66.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 33.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 7.64%
Draw 16%
Manchester United Women 76.34%
Aston Villa Women
1-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 16%
Manchester United Women
0-2 @ 14.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 13.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 11.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 76.34%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Man Utd
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Katie Zelem 13' goal
  • Leah Galton 28' goal
  • Alessia Russo 51' goal
  • Ona Batlle 76' goal
  • Wouter Deman 90'+3' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 20
Aston Villa
Apr 24, 2022 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Man Utd
Dec 19, 2021 12.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Ella Toone 8' goal
  • Katie Zelem 13' goal
  • Lucy Staniforth 50' goal
  • Martha Thomas 73' goal
  • Kirsty Hanson 76' yellowcard
  • Ella Toone 79' goal
  • Hayley Ladd 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruesha Littlejohn 52'
  • yellowcard Sarah Mayling 81'
  • yellowcard Chantelle Boye-Hlorkah 87'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Man Utd
Mar 7, 2021 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Kirsty Hanson 27' goal
  • Jessica Sigsworth 43' goal
  • Lucy Staniforth 45' yellowcard
  • Katie Zelem 73' goal
  • yellowcard Elisha N'Dow 71'
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
Dec 5, 2020 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Chloe Arthur 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leah Galton 25'
  • goal Ella Toone 89'

Form Data

Spurs 3 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Chelsea
Aston Villa 0 - 3 Chelsea
Aston Villa 5 - 0 Leicester
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City
West Ham 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Man Utd 1 - 0 Arsenal
Man Utd 3 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 4 Man Utd
Man Utd 4 - 0 West Ham
Lewes Women 1 - 3 Man Utd
Chelsea 1 - 0 Man Utd