Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
2 - 3
Man Utd Women

Daly (9', 37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Galton (15'), Parris (62'), Turner (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 3-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 7.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.01%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester United Women
7.64% (-0.0219 -0.02)16% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)76.36% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 39.3% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)45.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)67.63% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.7% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.29% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.36% (-0.051 -0.05)88.64% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.93% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)10.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 7.64%
    Manchester United Women 76.34%
    Draw 16%
Aston Villa WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-1 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 7.64%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 16%
0-2 @ 14.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 76.34%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man Utd Women

Aston Villa Women
6.3%
Draw
25.0%
Manchester United Women
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 9
Man Utd Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Zelem (13'), Galton (28'), Russo (51'), Batlle (76'), Deman (90+3')

Patten (83')
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
gameweek 20
Aston Villa
0-0
Man Utd Women
Dec 19, 2021 12pm
gameweek 10
Man Utd Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Toone (8', 79'), Zelem (13' pen.), Staniforth (50'), Thomas (73')
Hanson (76'), Ladd (90+1')

Littlejohn (52'), Mayling (81'), Boye-Hlorkah (87')
Mar 7, 2021 12pm
gameweek 11
Man Utd Women
3-0
Aston Villa
Hanson (27'), Sigsworth (43'), Zelem (73')
Staniforth (45')

N'Dow (71')
Dec 5, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 6
Aston Villa
0-2
Man Utd Women

Arthur (90+3')
Galton (25'), Toone (89')