Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.