Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
65.74% ( 0.91)	18.68% ( -0.21)	15.57% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.39% (

-0.43)

35.6% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34% (

-0.47)

57.66% (

0.47)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.88% (

0.1)

10.12% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.7% (

0.23)

33.3% (

-0.24)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16% (

-1.11)

35.83% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

-1.16)

72.61% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 65.74%

Aston Villa Women 15.57%

Draw 18.68%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.74%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.68%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.57%