Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Wolfsburg Women win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.