MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 16:47:01| >> :600:627189:627189:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
4 - 2
Roma

Pajor (24', 53'), Jane Jonsdottir (40'), Lattwein (52')
Oberdorf (13'), Popp (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alves (42'), Roman Haug (76')
Alves (62'), Giugliano (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Roma Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Roma 1-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Roma 1-1 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Wolfsburg Women 2-1 Roma Women

After the two teams played out a draw in Italy, we are expecting another closely-fought contest on Thursday, but we think that Wolfsburg will make full use of the home advantage to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 17.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawRoma Women
59.93% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 22.13% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 17.94% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)47.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.27% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.031999999999996 0.03)15.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)43.99% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.94% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (-0.052 -0.05)76.59% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 59.92%
    Roma Women 17.94%
    Draw 22.13%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawRoma Women
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.74% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 59.92%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.94%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Roma

Wolfsburg Women
52.2%
Draw
17.4%
Roma Women
30.4%
23
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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