Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Arsenal Women

Pajor (19'), Jane Jonsdottir (24')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Souza (45'), Blackstenius (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg Women

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Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawArsenal Women
49.53% (-2.018 -2.02)23.15% (0.519 0.52)27.31% (1.494 1.49)
Both teams to score 60.09% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-1.186 -1.19)40.79% (1.181 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-1.225 -1.23)63.17% (1.218 1.22)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-1.155 -1.16)16.66% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48% (-2.103 -2.1)46.51% (2.099 2.1)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.473 0.47)27.89% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.602 0.6)63.51% (-0.60699999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 49.53%
    Arsenal Women 27.31%
    Draw 23.15%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.247 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.28 0.28)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.389 0.39)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.296 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.146 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.31%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Arsenal Women

Wolfsburg Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Arsenal Women
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2022 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Wolfsburg
2-0
Arsenal Women
Roord (9'), Williamson (73' og.)
Mar 23, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal Women
1-1
Wolfsburg
Wubben-Moy (89')
Mead (68'), Catley (77')
Wassmuth (19')
Rauch (43'), Popp (57'), Wedemeyer (90+2')