Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
1 - 0
Leicester Women

Maanum (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-3 Wolfsburg
Monday, May 1 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Leicester Women

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester Women 4-0 Liverpool Women
Saturday, April 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 91.5%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 2.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.53%) and 2-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.96%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLeicester Women
91.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)2.26%
Both teams to score 38.79% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.93% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.2% (0.032000000000004 0.03)40.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)12.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)60.15% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)90.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 91.49%
    Leicester Women 2.26%
    Draw 6.23%
Arsenal WomenDrawLeicester Women
3-0 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 11.53%
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 5.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
6-0 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
7-0 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-1 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
7-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
8-0 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 91.49%
1-1 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
2-2 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 6.23%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 2.26%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Leicester Women

Arsenal Women
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Leicester Women
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 7
Leicester Women
0-4
Arsenal Women

Bott (43')
Maanum (13'), Foord (22'), Catley (37'), Blackstenius (48')
Apr 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 19
Leicester Women
0-5
Arsenal Women

Tierney (38'), O'Brien (57')
Mead (2'), Miedema (67', 75'), Plumptre (79' og.), Heath (83')
Wubben-Moy (12'), McCabe (15')
Dec 12, 2021 6.45pm
gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Nobbs (22'), Miedema (34'), Maanum (81', 83')
Sigsworth (3'), O'Brien (6'), Tierney (82'), Plumptre (86'), Nobbs (90+3')
Purfield (43')