Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Guro Reiten 22' goal
  • Magdalena Ericsson 41' goal

Chelsea Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 17, 2023 8.15pm
West Ham 0 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Samantha Kerr

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 17, 2023 6.15pm
Everton 1 - 4 Arsenal
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Frida Maanum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Chelsea Women 42.29% (-8.20)
Draw 24.29% (+0.91)
Arsenal Women 33.43% (+7.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.68% (+1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.1% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 42.9% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 34.7% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 65.3% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 18.04% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 81.96% (+0.07)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 79.56% (-3.39)
Under 0.5 20.44% (+3.39)
Over 1.5 47.11% (-5.67)
Under 1.5 52.89% (+5.67)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 75.01% (+4.84)
Under 0.5 24.99% (-4.84)
Over 1.5 40.35% (+6.27)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-6.27)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 42.29%
Draw 24.28%
Arsenal Women 33.43%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.70)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.89)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-1.52)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.95)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-1.29)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.64)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.73)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 6.19% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.28%
Arsenal Women
1-2 @ 7.8% (+1.22)
0-1 @ 7.08% (+0.93)
0-2 @ 4.91% (+1.19)
1-3 @ 3.6% (+0.95)
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.52)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.77)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-79.06)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Jan 15, 2023 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kim Little 57' goal
  • goal Samantha Kerr 89'
Women's FA Cup
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Beth Mead 48' yellowcard
  • goal Guro Reiten 50'
  • goal Ji So-yun 61'
  • yellowcard Erin Cuthbert 65'
Women's Super League Gameweek 15
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Guro Reiten 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noelle Maritz 44'
  • yellowcard Lia Walti 53'
Women's FA Cup
Dec 5, 2021 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Beth Mead 8' yellowcard
  • Katie McCabe 66' yellowcard
  • Nikita Parris 80' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Kirby 3'
  • yellowcard Erin Cuthbert 45'
  • goal Sam Kerr 57'
  • goal Sam Kerr 77'
Women's Super League Gameweek 1
Sep 5, 2021 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vivianne Miedema 14' goal
  • Katie McCabe 23' yellowcard
  • Beth Mead 49' goal
  • Beth Mead 60' goal
  • Nikita Parris 85' yellowcard
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 44'
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 64'
  • yellowcard Magdalena Ericsson 66'
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Feb 10, 2021 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Melanie Leupolz 22' yellowcard
  • Ji So-yun 43' yellowcard
  • Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 48' goal
  • Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 58' goal
  • Fran Kirby 90' goal
  • yellowcard Leah Williamson 89'