Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
May 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
 

Brighton Women
0 - 4
Arsenal Women

FT(HT: 0-4)
Blackstenius (6', 8'), Maanum (39'), Pelova (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-0 Leicester Women
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 77.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.48%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawArsenal Women
8.68% (2.311 2.31)13.63% (2.267 2.27)77.68% (-4.585 -4.59)
Both teams to score 53.87% (2.684 2.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.6% (-2.675 -2.68)29.39% (2.669 2.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.54% (-3.324 -3.32)50.46% (3.318 3.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (3.605 3.61)42.63% (-3.611 -3.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (2.924 2.92)78.97% (-2.931 -2.93)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9% (-1.311 -1.31)6.09% (1.3039 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.85% (-3.81 -3.81)23.14% (3.804 3.8)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 8.68%
    Arsenal Women 77.67%
    Draw 13.63%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 2.64% (0.64 0.64)
1-0 @ 2.22% (0.507 0.51)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.268 0.27)
2-0 @ 0.94% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 8.68%
1-1 @ 6.2% (1.008 1.01)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.654 0.65)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.384 0.38)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 13.63%
0-2 @ 10.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 9.48% (-0.867 -0.87)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.784 0.78)
1-3 @ 8.09% (0.096000000000001 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.54 0.54)
0-4 @ 6.63% (-1.237 -1.24)
1-4 @ 5.66% (-0.414 -0.41)
0-5 @ 3.71% (-1.071 -1.07)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.366 0.37)
1-5 @ 3.16% (-0.525 -0.53)
2-4 @ 2.41% (0.07 0.07)
0-6 @ 1.73% (-0.692 -0.69)
1-6 @ 1.48% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-5 @ 1.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 77.67%

How you voted: Brighton Women vs Arsenal Women

Brighton & Hove Albion Women
15.8%
Draw
15.8%
Arsenal Women
68.4%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 2
Arsenal Women
4-0
Brighton Women
Little (28'), Blackstenius (50'), Mead (63', 83')

Kullberg (7')
Mar 13, 2022 6.45pm
gameweek 17
Brighton Women
0-3
Arsenal Women

Kullberg (81'), Kaagman (90+2')
Blackstenius (27', 41'), Mead (34')
Williamson (8'), Foord (63')
Jan 27, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 10
Arsenal Women
2-1
Brighton Women
Miedema (55'), Mead (60')
Koivisto (15')
Brazil (24'), Le Tissier (54'), Williams (60')
Apr 25, 2021 2pm
gameweek 13
Arsenal Women
2-0
Brighton Women
Nobbs (27', 77')
Roord (73'), van de Donk (86')
Oct 11, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 3
Brighton Women
0-5
Arsenal Women
Miedema (10', 90+3'), Van de Donk (36'), Beattie (48'), Wubben-Moy (82')