Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.