Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
2 - 1
Roma

Dufour (4'), Thiney (6'), Geyoro (45' pen.), Katoto (46')
Hunt (24'), De Almeida (54'), Samoura (62'), Kiedrzynek (90+4'), Baltimore (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Moller Hansen (53'), Giacinti (58')
Viens (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Roma Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain Women

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Roma Women

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain Women in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Roma Women
40.61% ( -1.62)	24.68% ( 0.31)	34.71% ( 1.3)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.56% (

-1.12)

44.45% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

-1.1)

66.82% (

1.1)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

-1.24)

21.88% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

-1.91)

55.13% (

1.91)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

0.23)

24.98% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

0.31)

59.63% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Women 40.61%

Roma Women 34.71%

Draw 24.68%

Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Roma Women
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.71%