Women's Champions League
Oct 18, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Lieke Martens 17' goal
  • Lieke Martens 48' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 57' goal
  • goal Lisa Naalsund 47'

Paris Saint-Germain Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 8.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 PSG

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 8.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain Women would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain Women 34.23% (-0.03)
Draw 26.6% (-0.02)
Manchester United Women 39.16% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.07% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 52.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 74.53% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 11.65% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.34% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5 70.65% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.34%
Over 1.5 34.68% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.32% (-0.01)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 73.57% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.42% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.4% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.59% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Women 34.23%
Draw 26.6%
Manchester United Women 39.16%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 34.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.6%
Manchester United Women
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.16%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Oct 10, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Melvine Malard 70' goal
  • goal Tabitha Chawinga 53'
  • yellowcard Ramona Bachmann 90'