Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
5 - 1
Roma

(Barcelona Women win 6-1 on aggregate)

Rolfo (11', 45+3'), Pilar Leon (33'), Oshoala (46'), Guijarro (53')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Serturini (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Roma Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Roma Women

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona Women	Draw	Roma Women
83.18% ( 4.37)	11.49% ( -2.01)	5.34% ( -2.36)

Both teams to score 42.9% (

-6.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.09% (

-0.25)

32.9% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.39% (

-0.29)

54.61% (

0.29)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.21% (

0.78)

5.79% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.7% (

2.17)

22.29% (

-2.17)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.53% (

-7.09)

54.46% (

7.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.44% (

-4.79)

87.56% (

4.79)

Score Analysis

Barcelona Women 83.17%

Roma Women 5.34%

Draw 11.49%

Barcelona Women	Draw	Roma Women
2-0 @ 12.8% ( 1.27) 3-0 @ 12.15% ( 1.69) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.66% ( 1.53) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.93% ( 1.05) 5-1 @ 3% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.58) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.68) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.39) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) 7-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.27) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.76% Total : 83.17%	1-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.87) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.86) Other @ 0.51% Total : 11.49%	0-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.71) Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.34%