Women's Champions League
Mar 29, 2023 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Fridolina Rolfo 11' goal
  • Maria Pilar Leon 33' goal
  • Asisat Oshoala 46' goal
  • Fridolina Rolfo 45'+3' goal
  • Patricia Guijarro 53' goal
  • goal Annamaria Serturini 58'

Barcelona Women vs Roma Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 21, 2023 8.00pm
Roma 0 - 1 Barcelona

Roma Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 21, 2023 8.00pm
Roma 0 - 1 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result

Barcelona Women 83.18% (+4.38)
Draw 11.49% (-2.01)
Roma Women 5.34% (-2.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.9% (-6.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.09% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 32.9% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 45.39% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 54.61% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 26.63% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 73.37% (+0.25)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5 94.21% (+0.79)
Under 0.5 5.79% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 77.7% (+2.18)
Under 1.5 22.29% (-2.17)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5 45.53% (-7.10)
Under 0.5 54.46% (+7.10)
Over 1.5 12.44% (-4.80)
Under 1.5 87.56% (+4.80)

Score analysis

Barcelona Women 83.17%
Draw 11.49%
Roma Women 5.34%
Barcelona Women
2-0 @ 12.8% (+1.28)
3-0 @ 12.15% (+1.69)
1-0 @ 8.99% (+0.52)
4-0 @ 8.66% (+1.53)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.85)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.44)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 4.93% (+1.06)
5-1 @ 3% (+0.10)
6-0 @ 2.34% (+0.59)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.68)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.40)
6-1 @ 1.42% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 83.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.46% (-0.88)
0-0 @ 3.16% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.86)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 11.49%
Roma Women
0-1 @ 1.92% (-0.41)
1-2 @ 1.66% (-0.71)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.34%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Mar 21, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Salma Paralluelo 34'