Rosengard
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Malmö IP

Rosengard
1 - 4
Barcelona

Holdt (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bonmati (30', 41'), Caldentey (65', 90+2')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Rosengard and Barcelona Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosengard

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Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-1 Rosengard
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Barcelona Women

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Last Game: Barcelona 9-0 Benfica
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Rosengard had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Rosengard win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
RosengardDrawBarcelona Women
26.45%22.66% (-0.02 -0.02)50.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.04% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (0.086999999999996 0.09)39.19% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (0.091999999999999 0.09)61.52% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Rosengard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.68% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.055 0.05)63.24% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (0.037000000000006 0.04)15.58% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (0.072000000000003 0.07)44.55% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rosengard 26.45%
    Barcelona Women 50.89%
    Draw 22.66%
RosengardDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.45%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.93% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.89%