Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
 

Roma
0 - 1
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-1)
Paralluelo (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Roma Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma Women

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Last Game: Slavia Prague 0-3 Roma
Thursday, December 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Barcelona Women

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Last Game: Barcelona 6-0 Rosengard
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Roma Women win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona Women.

Result
Roma WomenDrawBarcelona Women
19.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)21.84% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)58.96% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.88% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (0.085999999999999 0.09)66.26% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)36.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)73.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.067000000000007 0.07)14.54% (-0.068 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (0.13 0.13)42.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 19.19%
    Barcelona Women 58.96%
    Draw 21.84%
Roma WomenDrawBarcelona Women
1-0 @ 5.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 19.19%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.92% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.39% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.38% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.07% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 58.96%

How you voted: Roma vs Barcelona

Roma Women
25.4%
Draw
9.5%
Barcelona Women
65.1%
63