Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

FC Bayern Campus Platz 1

Bayern Munich
1 - 1
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grant (38')
Hoekstra (35'), Yohannes (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich Women

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Ajax Women

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich Women	Draw	Ajax Women
38.71% ( -0.28)	23.87% ( -0.02)	37.42% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.77% (

0.09)

40.23% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

0.09)

62.6% (

-0.09)

Bayern Munich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

-0.1)

20.97% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27% (

-0.16)

53.72% (

0.15)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

0.19)

21.6% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3% (

0.28)

54.7% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich Women 38.71%

Ajax Women 37.42%

Draw 23.87%

Bayern Munich Women	Draw	Ajax Women
2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.71%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.42%