Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Sportpark De Toekomst

Ajax
1 - 0
Bayern Munich

Leuchter (44')
Spitse (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lohmann (64')

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Ajax Women and Bayern Munich Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax Women

Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Bayern Munich Women

Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Ajax Women	Draw	Bayern Munich Women
25.7% ( 3.44)	22.49% ( 0.52)	51.81% ( -3.97)

Both teams to score 60.91% (

2.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.97% (

1.22)

39.03% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.65% (

1.27)

61.35% (

-1.27)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

3.47)

28.15% (

-3.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16% (

4.19)

63.83% (

-4.19)

Bayern Munich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.88)

15.21% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14% (

-1.68)

43.85% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Ajax Women 25.7%

Bayern Munich Women 51.81%

Draw 22.49%

Ajax Women	Draw	Bayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.7%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.96) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.45) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.81%