CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Sep 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Cairo International Stadium

Al Ahly
3 - 0
Gor Mahia

Rabia (23'), Abou Ali (54'), Mohamed (90+1')
Slim (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ochieng (25'), Juma (64')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Al Ahly and Gor Mahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

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Last Game: Gor Mahia 0-3 Al Ahly
Sunday, September 15 at 1pm in CAF Champions League
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Gor Mahia

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Last Game: Gor Mahia 0-3 Al Ahly
Sunday, September 15 at 1pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 76.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Gor Mahia had a probability of 7.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.13%) and 3-0 (11.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Gor Mahia win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Al AhlyDrawGor Mahia
76.26% (0.013999999999996 0.01)16.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 36.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)48% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)70.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (0.016999999999996 0.02)10.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.15% (0.037000000000006 0.04)34.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Gor Mahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.8% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.97% (0.014100000000001 0.01)90.02% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 76.24%
    Gor Mahia 7.35%
    Draw 16.39%
Al AhlyDrawGor Mahia
2-0 @ 15.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 14.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 6.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 76.24%
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 16.39%
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 7.35%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 1pm
Second Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Gor Mahia
0-3
Al Ahly

Morrison (70')
Rabia (14'), Tau (15', 74')
Attia (38')