CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Nyayo National Stadium

Gor Mahia
5 - 1
Al Merreikh Juba

Ochieng Oduor (11'), Chris Onyango (21'), Otieno Omija (35'), Onyango (81', 90+2')
Ochieng Oduor (23'), Omondi Onyango (85')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Akinbinu (8')
Abdalla Hussein Elfaki (23')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Gor Mahia and Al Merreikh Juba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gor Mahia

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Last Game: Al Merreikh Juba 1-0 Gor Mahia
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
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Al Merreikh Juba

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Last Game: Al Merreikh Juba 1-0 Gor Mahia
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gor Mahia win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Merreikh Juba had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gor Mahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for an Al Merreikh Juba win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gor Mahia would win this match.

Result
Gor MahiaDrawAl Merreikh Juba
72.72% (-0.423 -0.42)18.21% (0.327 0.33)9.07% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 38.7% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (-1.056 -1.06)49.95% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-0.951 -0.95)71.93% (0.94800000000001 0.95)
Gor Mahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.425 -0.42)12.32% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.88% (-0.892 -0.89)38.12% (0.892 0.89)
Al Merreikh Juba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.14% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)55.86% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.61% (-0.27 -0.27)88.39% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Gor Mahia 72.71%
    Al Merreikh Juba 9.07%
    Draw 18.21%
Gor MahiaDrawAl Merreikh Juba
2-0 @ 15.08% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 14.41% (0.38 0.38)
3-0 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.51% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.31% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 72.71%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.104 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 9.07%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
First Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Al Merreikh Juba
1-0
Gor Mahia
Abdalla Hussein Elfaki (64')
Akinbinu (51'), Jinaro (72'), Omar Abdalla Makki (90')

Owino Chino (7'), Owino Onyango (38'), Owino Omondi (49')