CAF Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg

May 25, 2024 at 6pm UK

New Suez Stadium

Al Ahly
1 - 0
ES Tunis

(Al Ahly win 1-0 on aggregate)

Aholou (4' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aholou (20'), Miguel Azevedo Cardoso (21'), Ogbelu (86'), Ben Hmida (90+5'), Ben Hmida (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CAF Champions League clash between Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

Last Game: ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in CAF Champions League

Esperance Tunis

Last Game: ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.

Result
Al Ahly	Draw	Esperance Tunis
61.96% ( 0.01)	24.08% ( 0.02)	13.96% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 37.62% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.59% (

-0.1)

60.41% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.45% (

-0.08)

80.55% (

0.07)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62% (

-0.04)

19.37% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83% (

-0.06)

51.17% (

0.05)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.66% (

-0.11)

53.34% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.14% (

-0.07)

86.86% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Al Ahly 61.95%

Esperance Tunis 13.96%

Draw 24.08%

Al Ahly	Draw	Esperance Tunis
1-0 @ 16.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 24.08%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.96%