CAF Champions League | Final | 1st Leg
May 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
 

ES Tunis
0 - 0
Al Ahly

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CAF Champions League clash between Esperance Tunis and Al Ahly, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Al Ahly 3-0 ES Tunis
Saturday, June 26 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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Last Game: Urawa 2-4 Al Ahly
Friday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Club World Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Esperance TunisDrawAl Ahly
38.04%27.98%33.97%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.69%58.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07%78.93%
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36%29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32%65.68%
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79%32.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3%68.7%
Score Analysis
    Esperance Tunis 38.04%
    Al Ahly 33.96%
    Draw 27.98%
Esperance TunisDrawAl Ahly
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.04%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.96%

Head to Head
Jun 26, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ahly
3-0
ES Tunis
Maaloul (38' pen.), Sherif (56'), El Shahat (60')
Mohamed (15')

Chetti (36')
Jun 19, 2021 6pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
ES Tunis
0-1
Al Ahly
Sherif (67')