Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.