TP Mazembe

2 - 1

Red Arrows

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TP Mazembe win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Red Arrows had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a TP Mazembe win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.59%) and 3-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.68%), while for a Red Arrows win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TP Mazembe would win this match.