Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 92.97%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 1.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.81%) and 2-0 (11.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.56%), while for a Mbabane Swallows win it was 0-1 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.