CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

Mbabane Swallows
1 - 0
Ferroviario Beira

Madja (46')
Mathabela (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Danito (3')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Mbabane Swallows and Ferroviario Beira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mbabane Swallows

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ferroviario Beira

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mbabane Swallows win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Ferroviario Beira had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mbabane Swallows win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ferroviario Beira win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mbabane Swallows in this match.

Result
Mbabane SwallowsDrawFerroviario Beira
37.63% (0.009999999999998 0.01)28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)34.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.69% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (0.020000000000003 0.02)58.34% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)78.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Mbabane Swallows Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.9% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Ferroviario Beira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.42% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mbabane Swallows 37.62%
    Ferroviario Beira 34.37%
    Draw 28%
Mbabane SwallowsDrawFerroviario Beira
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.62%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.37%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Mbabane Swallows