CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

Mbabane Swallows
0 - 4
Mamelodi Sundowns


Thwala (17'), Manyisa (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ribeiro Costa (3' pen., 54'), Lebusa (17'), Rayners (39')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Mbabane Swallows and Mamelodi Sundowns.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mbabane Swallows

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Last Game: Ferroviario Beira 0-0 Mbabane Swallows
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
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Mamelodi Sundowns

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Last Game: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Cardiff
Tuesday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 92.66%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 1.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.29%) and 0-4 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Mbabane Swallows win it was 1-0 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.

Result
Mbabane SwallowsDrawMamelodi Sundowns
1.44%5.89%92.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 25.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)49.7%
Mbabane Swallows Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.61%73.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.9%96.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Mamelodi Sundowns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)3.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.95%
Score Analysis
    Mbabane Swallows 1.44%
    Mamelodi Sundowns 92.66%
    Draw 5.89%
Mbabane SwallowsDrawMamelodi Sundowns
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 1.44%
1-1 @ 2.62%
0-0 @ 2.51%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 5.89%
0-3 @ 16.08%
0-2 @ 14.29%
0-4 @ 13.58%
0-5 @ 9.17%
0-1 @ 8.46%
0-6 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 4.98%
1-2 @ 4.42%
1-4 @ 4.2%
1-5 @ 2.84%
0-7 @ 2.49%
1-6 @ 1.6%
0-8 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 92.66%