CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Campo da Acucareira Herois de Caxit

Ferroviario Beira
0 - 0
Mbabane Swallows


Divrassone (45'), Danito (90')
FT

Thwala (20')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Ferroviario Beira and Mbabane Swallows.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferroviario Beira

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Last Game: Mbabane Swallows 1-0 Ferroviario Beira
Friday, August 16 at 6pm in CAF Champions League
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Mbabane Swallows

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Last Game: Mbabane Swallows 1-0 Ferroviario Beira
Friday, August 16 at 6pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferroviario Beira win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferroviario Beira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Mbabane Swallows win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Ferroviario BeiraDrawMbabane Swallows
46.72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.03% (-0.026 -0.03)27.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1)53.22% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.084 0.08)74.79% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Ferroviario Beira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (0.052999999999997 0.05)22.76% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (0.078999999999994 0.08)56.45% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Mbabane Swallows Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (0.049000000000007 0.05)34.46% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.052 0.05)71.18% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ferroviario Beira 46.72%
    Mbabane Swallows 27.25%
    Draw 26.02%
Ferroviario BeiraDrawMbabane Swallows
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.72%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 6pm
First Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Mbabane Swallows
1-0
Ferroviario Beira
Madja (46')
Mathabela (77')

Danito (3')