Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.