Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.