Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 20, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
3 - 2
PSG

(Lyon Women win 5-3 on aggregate)

Diani (80'), Dumornay (85'), Majri (86')
Diani (77'), Bompastor (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Katoto (44', 48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Benfica
Wednesday, March 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain Women

Last Game: PSG 3-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, March 28 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon Women	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain Women
56.17% ( 0.09)	22.42% ( 0.04)	21.41% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

-0.33)

43.41% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-0.32)

65.8% (

0.33)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

-0.08)

15.28% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01% (

-0.16)

43.99% (

0.16)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82% (

-0.3)

34.18% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12% (

-0.32)

70.88% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Lyon Women 56.17%

Paris Saint-Germain Women 21.41%

Draw 22.42%

Lyon Women	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.17%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.41%