Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Mar 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Groupama OL Training Center

Lyon
4 - 1
Benfica

(Lyon Women win 6-2 on aggregate)

Cascarino (43', 51'), Diani (90+1', 90+6')
Dabritz (29'), Dumornay (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alidou (45')
Ucheibe (59'), Amado (62'), Araujo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Benfica Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Benfica Women

Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon Women	Draw	Benfica Women
54.5% ( 0.45)	23.72% ( 0.13)	21.78% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 52.08% (

-1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.45% (

-1.19)

48.54% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.33% (

-1.1)

70.66% (

1.09)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

-0.27)

17.7% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

-0.47)

48.35% (

0.47)

Benfica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28% (

-1.23)

36.71% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

-1.25)

73.5% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Lyon Women 54.49%

Benfica Women 21.78%

Draw 23.71%

Lyon Women	Draw	Benfica Women
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.56% Total : 54.49%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.71%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.78%