Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.