Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 22

Sep 21, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stadyen Central'ny

Gomel
2 - 1
Naftan

Antonio Evangelista da Silva Neto (54'), Junior Effaghe (89')
Abdullahi (30'), Rylach (64'), Grishchenko (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Suchkov (11')
Kingu (30'), Drabatovich (76')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gomel

All competitions

Last Game: FC Minsk 3-1 Gomel
Monday, September 16 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Naftan

All competitions

Last Game: Naftan 3-6 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
Gomel	Draw	Naftan
61.8% ( -0.33)	21.73% ( 0.11)	16.47% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 49.24% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28% (

-0.07)

47.72% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09% (

-0.07)

69.91% (

0.07)

Gomel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09% (

-0.13)

14.91% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.72% (

-0.25)

43.28% (

0.25)

Naftan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.87% (

0.25)

42.14% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.45% (

0.21)

78.55% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Gomel 61.79%

Naftan 16.47%

Draw 21.72%

Gomel	Draw	Naftan
1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 61.79%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 16.47%