Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.