Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Aug 24, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatsva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Naftan

Aziz Toure (27')
Aziz Toure (39'), M'pomezok (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Suchkov (10'), Kuchinskiy (30'), Lebedev (81')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Smorgon 1-1 FC Minsk
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 1-1 Naftan
Saturday, August 10 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawNaftan
41.4% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.69% (0.004999999999999 0)32.91% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)49.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)71.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)23.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)57.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.012 0.01)28.42% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.015999999999998 0.02)64.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 41.4%
    Naftan 32.91%
    Draw 25.68%
SmorgonDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.91%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 4
Naftan
1-1
Smorgon
Marukhin (63')
Suchkov (31'), Kharitonovich (90+5')
Shubovich (90+5')
Kopytich (90+5')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Naftan
2-2
Smorgon
Panyukov (16'), Slepov (38')
Sidor (22'), Bruy (60')
Bruy (90+3')
Kopytich (59'), Dukso (90+5')
Aliu (30'), Nuradin (72'), Camara (89')
May 7, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 7
Smorgon
1-0
Naftan
Nuradin (77')