Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slavia Mozyr in this match.