Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for BATE Borisov in this match.