Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Jun 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 - 3
Naftan


Pogostnov (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Paparyga (1', 42'), Suchkov (32'), Kingu (90+1')
Kuchinskiy (8'), Kress (37'), Kingu (90')
Kuchinskiy (90+3')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Minsk 1-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Saturday, June 22 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 0-1 Slavia Mozyr
Saturday, June 22 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawNaftan
65.71% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)20.01% (0.149 0.15)14.29% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.47% (-0.272 -0.27)44.54% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.1% (-0.265 -0.27)66.9% (0.27 0.27)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (-0.17 -0.17)12.72% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.06% (-0.359 -0.36)38.94% (0.363 0.36)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (0.080999999999996 0.08)43.15% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)79.42% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 65.69%
    Naftan 14.29%
    Draw 20.01%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawNaftan
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.69%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.01%
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 4% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.29%

rhs 2.0


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