Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.