Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.