Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
3 - 6
Dinamo Brest

Zhitnev (5', 24'), Suchkov (68')
Kress (10')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kortsov (23', 55'), Gordeychuk (50', 62', 69'), Svirepa (53')
Barkovskiy (6'), Oreshkevich (33')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Dinamo Brest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Naftan 0-2 FC Minsk
Saturday, August 31 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 3-0 Slavia Mozyr
Friday, August 30 at 4.45pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.

Result
NaftanDrawDinamo Brest
16.47% (-0.511 -0.51)21.91% (-0.124 -0.12)61.62% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.668 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.345 -0.34)48.49% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.318 -0.32)70.62% (0.315 0.31)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.852 -0.85)42.6% (0.848 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-0.736 -0.74)78.95% (0.732 0.73)
Dinamo Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.087000000000003 0.09)15.22% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (0.167 0.17)43.88% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 16.47%
    Dinamo Brest 61.6%
    Draw 21.9%
NaftanDrawDinamo Brest
1-0 @ 5.53% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 16.47%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 11.48% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.21% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 3.39% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 61.6%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Dinamo Brest
2-2
Naftan
Gordeychuk (10', 74')
Kortsov (41'), Svirepa (61')
Paparyga (50', 86')
Paparyga (57'), Sidor (58'), Shchadin (90')
Sep 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 21
Dinamo Brest
2-2
Naftan
Gordeychuk (22'), Bruy (84' og.)
Poznyak (14')
Burak (42' og.), Drabatovich (66')
Pukhov (17'), Litvinov (28'), Piletskiy (90')
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Naftan
0-3
Dinamo Brest
Kolpachuk (6'), Gordeychuk (73'), Kouadio (80')