Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.