Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 61.28%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Jong Ajax
61.28% ( 0.73)	19.17% ( 0.02)	19.54% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 64.51% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.38% (

-1.28)

30.62% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.06% (

-1.55)

51.94% (

1.55)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.22% (

-0.2)

9.78% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.48% (

-0.47)

32.51% (

0.47)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

-1.45)

28.49% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-1.85)

64.26% (

1.85)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 61.28%

Jong Ajax 19.54%

Draw 19.17%

Vitesse	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.81% Total : 61.28%	1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.17%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 19.54%