Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.