Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Telstar
51.94% ( 0.06)	21.97% ( -0.03)	26.09% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 63.19% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.79% (

0.11)

36.22% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.67% (

0.12)

58.33% (

-0.12)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83% (

0.06)

14.17% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.14% (

0.12)

41.87% (

-0.12)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

0.03)

26.38% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

0.05)

61.53% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 51.94%

Telstar 26.09%

Draw 21.97%

Vitesse	Draw	Telstar
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.53% Total : 51.94%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.09%