Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ
2 - 3
MVV

Daal (8'), Berkhout (55')
Westerveld (42')
FT(HT: 1-2)
El Basri (35'), Rocha (43' pen.), Smeets (86')
Buifrahi (39'), Smeets (90+2')
Buifrahi (47')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Oss 1-1 Jong AZ
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 3-0 MVV
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZDrawMVV Maastricht
64.53% (1.156 1.16)18.1% (-0.329 -0.33)17.38% (-0.821 -0.82)
Both teams to score 64.37% (-0.461 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71% (0.145 0.14)29% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.03% (0.176 0.18)49.98% (-0.168 -0.17)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.42% (0.29599999999999 0.3)8.58% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.34% (0.71300000000001 0.71)29.66% (-0.706 -0.71)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.73 -0.73)29.58% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.903 -0.9)65.61% (0.90900000000001 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 64.53%
    MVV Maastricht 17.38%
    Draw 18.1%
Jong AZDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.63% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.202 0.2)
1-0 @ 6.24% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.68% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.85% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.3% (0.09 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.11 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 64.53%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 18.1%
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-1 @ 3.09% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 17.38%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
MVV
4-0
Jong AZ
Kostons (3'), Smeets (23', 81'), Rocha (76')
Apr 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-3
Jong AZ
Rocha (82')
Barasi (67' pen.), Stam (83'), Poku (90+4')
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 1
Jong AZ
3-1
MVV
Dekker (4'), Meerdink (51'), Allouch (82')
Twisk (16')
Engel (15' og.)
Waem (11'), Blummel (56')
Mar 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 27
MVV
2-3
Jong AZ
Blummel (54'), Dzepar (66')
Griffith (11'), Meerdink (68'), Taabouni (87')
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Jong AZ
0-1
MVV

Jacobs (20'), Sedlacek (59')
Ntelo (68')
Waem (31'), Essers (59'), Souren (90')
rhs 2.0


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