Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Apr 20, 2024 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Dailon Rocha 11' goal
  • Dailon Rocha 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khaled Razak 68'
  • goal Jeredy Hilterman 90'+3'

MVV Maastricht vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2024 7.00pm
Emmen 1 - 3 MVV
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Dailon Rocha

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2024 7.00pm
Willem II 4 - 1 Jong AZ
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jeredy Hilterman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

MVV Maastricht 10.83% (-0.04)
Draw 16.68% (+0.55)
Willem II 72.5% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.51% (-2.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.15% (-2.83)
Under 2.5 37.85% (+2.83)
Over 3.5 39.9% (-3.09)
Under 3.5 60.1% (+3.09)
Over 4.5 22.06% (-2.53)
Under 4.5 77.94% (+2.53)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 55.57% (-1.99)
Under 0.5 44.43% (+1.99)
Over 1.5 19.53% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 80.47% (+1.66)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 90.89% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 9.11% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 69.05% (-1.99)
Under 1.5 30.95% (+1.99)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 10.83%
Draw 16.68%
Willem II 72.49%
MVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 3.29% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 3.19% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.33% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.87% (+0.36)
0-0 @ 4.05% (+0.53)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 16.68%
Willem II
0-2 @ 11.61% (+0.70)
0-1 @ 9.7% (+0.94)
1-2 @ 9.43% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 9.28% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 7.53% (-0.24)
0-4 @ 5.55% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.28)
0-5 @ 2.66% (-0.15)
1-5 @ 2.16% (-0.25)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.24)
0-6 @ 1.06% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 72.49%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jesse Bosch 34' goal
  • Freek Heerkens 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matthias Verreth 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 63' yellowcard
  • Freek Heerkens 69' goal
  • Joshua Smits 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tunahan Tasci 29'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tim Zeegers 56'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elton Kabangu 20' goal
  • Joeri Schroyen 90'+2' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marco Kleinen 70' goal
  • Koen Kostons 86' goal
  • Rein Van Helden 90'+5' goal
  • goal Michael de Leeuw 4'
  • goal Nick Doodeman 18'