De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36
Apr 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 0
MVV

Fortes (35'), Yadir (65'), van Gilst (71')
Buttner (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roda JC 1-1 De Graafschap
Friday, April 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawMVV Maastricht
72.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)11.8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 60.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.79% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)48.21% (0.012 0.01)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.58% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)72.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 72.94%
    MVV Maastricht 11.8%
    Draw 15.26%
De GraafschapDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 8.13%
3-0 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 3.02%
5-0 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.37%
6-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 72.94%
1-1 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 15.26%
1-2 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 11.8%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
1-2
De Graafschap
Tasci (27')
Warmerdam (43'), Lammers (51')
Warmerdam (71')
May 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
2-1
MVV
Haen (29'), Lukassen (90')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
MVV
2-2
De Graafschap
Souren (43'), Van Bommel (48')
Brittijn (24'), Fortes (90')
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 31
De Graafschap
1-3
MVV
Brittijn (11')
Gravenberch (83')
Lake (9'), Remans (56'), Blummel (74')
Lake (33'), Keulen (69'), Zeegers (79'), Remans (83')
Aug 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 2
MVV
1-3
De Graafschap
Blummel (23')
Delferriere (77')
Konings (13'), Korte (26'), Opoku (78' pen.)
Verbeek (45+2')