Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.