ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg
May 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Cars Jeans Stadion
Excelsior

ADO Den Haag
1 - 2
Excelsior

Veerman (71')
van der Sande (30'), Ideho (41'), Asante (51'), Waem (68'), Esajas (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Driouech (16'), Duijvestijn (23')
Lamprou (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between ADO Den Haag and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

ADO Den Haag

All competitions
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-2 De Graafschap
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawSBV Excelsior
60.77% (0.030999999999999 0.03)20.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)19.12% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-0.2 -0.2)35.91% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-0.22 -0.22)57.99% (0.22 0.22)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)11.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.67% (-0.113 -0.11)36.33% (0.114 0.11)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.175 -0.17)32.07% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.199 -0.2)68.54% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 60.77%
    SBV Excelsior 19.12%
    Draw 20.11%
ADO Den HaagDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.77%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.12%

How you voted: ADO Den Haag vs 16th position Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag
43.1%
Draw
23.5%
16th position Eredivisie
33.3%
51
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 5pm
Third Round 2nd Leg
ADO Den Haag
4-4
Excelsior
(Aggregate 5-5 | Excelsior win 8-7 on penalties)
Verheydt (34'), Pires (40'), Steijn (47'), Komljenovic (97')
Amofa (29'), Moreo Klas (42'), Steijn (43'), Asante (65'), Pires (96')
Asante (69')
Azarkan (79'), Niemeijer (83'), Dallinga (90+3'), El Yaakoubi (108')
Wieffer (32')
Chacon (90+2')
> Preview
May 24, 2022 7pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Excelsior
1-1
ADO Den Haag
Azarkan (47')
Steijn (90+2')
Kemper (47')
Jan 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 21
Excelsior
2-3
ADO Den Haag
Niemeijer (40'), Driouech (86')
Eijgenraam (45+3')
Bourard (19'), Steijn (36'), Verheydt (58')
Breinburg (54')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 12
ADO Den Haag
0-2
Excelsior

Moreo Klas (30'), Kemper (34')
Amofa (52' og.), El Yaakoubi (82')
Horemans (86')
Apr 25, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
ADO Den Haag
3-1
Excelsior
El Khayati (2'), Bakker (29'), Becker (72')
Fortes (11')