Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.