Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 8.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.